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20121201
20121231
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FBC 13
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English 13
Search Results 0 to 12 of about 13
FOX Business
Dec 13, 2012 4:00pm EST
, but a change. you were bullish in the u.s. saying i'm going to europe and other areas. why? >> well, maybe it's controversial when you look at the headlines in europe and asia and elsewhere in the world, but our thesis is predicated primarily on what we call price matters, which is essentially evaluations so when you look at the u.s. markets, and in our opinion, u.s. markets are still relatively attractively valued because they are, on our models, 20% below long term return trend sot force of reversion works in your favor, but if you look at efa, it's further below the long term trend, 35%-40% below the long term trend, and history coral lates to strong adjusted returns over the next decade. you know, that's the long term view op places like europe and asia. the shorter term view is that our tool set for tactical moves is don't fight the fed or the trend, be aware of the crowded extremes, and like in the u.s. where the fed is on a risk market side, that's true in the ecb, a huge change. the change in the ecb leadership and the embracing of american style qe is a big reason why we went from st
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 4:00pm EST
think europe is behind us. unemployment is finding its footing. the housing market is finding its footing. so i think generally we have got clear sailing for 2013. i don't think the market is going to skyrocket. i just don't think we're going to see the wild swings that we have seen the last couple of years. david: david, let me challenge you on that a little bit. tim, we will get to you in a second. you say most of the bad news is behind us, but what if we don't have a deal, and that's still a possibility, we go off the fiscal cliff and as most economists think, we go into a recession. i mean a recession is not priced into this market, is it? >> i think so. david: really? hold on a second, the last time we had a recession the dow went down. >> i don't think there's really many things they can do in congress to avoid a very slow growth economy. whatever they do, it is not going to cause the economy to grow like crazy. i don't think the market is pricing any any kind of major reversal. david: let me be precise here. you are saying specifically that if we go into a recession, a rece
FOX Business
Dec 6, 2012 4:00pm EST
the actual global land scape is looking like from europe to here in the u.s.? >> well, i just spent two weeks in europe, and i don't think things are as bad in europe as a lot of people do. liz: why not? >> the politicians, the bankers and the bureaucrats are the same in europe as they are here. they don't want to lose their jobs, and they're going to continue to paper over this and try to buy time just like we did in our fiasco in '07, '08 and '09. david: david, on the other hand, some people would say what they're doing is stunting growth, raising tax rates, something that may stunt our growth as well. you say that this bull market is overbought right now. it's about to end. why and how sharp a correction are you expecting? >> well, we believe that the high of 12 weeks ago was probably the high for the whole recovery cycle the that started in march of '09. remember that the u.s. stock market was the only market in the world that made a new high this year. we were the best looking house on a very bad looking street. and we believe that the market is overvalued perhaps 20-30%, but we also bel
FOX Business
Dec 17, 2012 4:00pm EST
states, 7% china, 5% india, negative one in europe. in that environment you want to own a portfolio of multinational companies with dividends, global exposure, it will provide as good of a return as anything else when you have bonds and cash paying so low. as long as you understand you're in the seven, 8% environment, portfolio stocks should be part of that. david: let's talk to a guy that says full speed ahead torpedoes. he thinks it will be better than this year was. saying people are confusing pickups for heart attacks in today's market to all these problems are going to seem like nothing when we come to the big gains of next year. you really think that will bear out, and how do you invest with that kinddof optimistic strategy? >> first of all what we have seen with investor sentiment is contradictory to what we've seen with consumer sentiment and business sentiment. when you see negative investor sentiment is not just in the retail side but also the institutional side creating a great potential opportunity for performance. secondly if you take a look at kicking the can down the
FOX Business
Dec 14, 2012 4:00pm EST
to happen in europe about the future whether their taxes are going to go aboard not. the problem is if you are holding on to your cash because darrell issa fear you are losing money. is that -- can you get that message out? is there a way to address the people who are so fearful, who don't want to risk a lot of their money but to recognize it just to leave it stand is not helping them at all. >> i appreciate your question. this gets to the heart of the question. people getting so focus on the fiscal cliff that they are missing the big picture. the big picture we are delivered in one way or the other when you think of things in three frameworks the the supergood growth middle and growth dealing with fiscal the leveraging in a small amount and the downside of the fiscal cliff. the first category is not something we can really obtain. the other two are the more likely categories and they are the way to invest in those areas and the portfolio of getting returned in those areas -- [talking over each other] liz: they fan your portfolio. >> they need to give away the more distant up side. don't b
FOX Business
Dec 19, 2012 4:00pm EST
't know about double-digit earnings growth, but credit in europe, and a miracle in japan. it is incredible. earnings are starting to rebound because nominal gdp is increasing and the other thing about volatility, volatility is going lower making what could have been more tight, more stability going into next year. all of these things, they will have a great year as far as price concern. liz: we showed the s&p for the year up about 16% year-over-year. the nasdaq 17%, these are beautiful performances, can they continue through 2013? >> i got asked that question a lot. people say the market is up, they are expensive, that is not necessarily so. the market is up because the consumer confidence and spending and earnings are great and the stock market made up of individual stocks that represent corporate earnings. as i look out into 2013, i see a bunch of tailwind called the energy sector, the housing sector getting a lot better. i agree capital spending and manufacturing is making a renaissance in the u.s. and all that would achieve market make for good earnings. david: i brought it up with our
FOX Business
Dec 11, 2012 4:00pm EST
's mentioning that the feds started a two-day meeting here. that's not a big issue. europe, though, are we seeing signs of stress again with the concerns about leadership in italy, and problems in greece, and should we pay attention to that than the fiscal cliff discussions? >> well, you know, right now, doesn't seem like the market is paying attention to that right now. it reminds me a lot of september, before the election, when the s&p's rallied. everything was con taped. we were worried about central bank, liquidity, numbers okayed here, heating up in china. people thought europe was contained, and it feels that way now. people looking past the headlines whether it's the fiscal cliff or europe. i mean, there's a lot of doom day sayers out there, and it makes sense, but it seems like everything right now is contained, and the trade is up to the upside. david: right. liz mentioned the fed decision coming up, should be hearing about it tomorrow. what's the market expecting from the fed? in what way will they be excited or disappointed? >> well, i think the market, if you look at the option
FOX Business
Dec 3, 2012 4:00pm EST
accomplished a lot more than we think or know in the press. i think what's happening now is as we saw in europe last year, the most dangerous thing for the markets is when politicians start communicating through the press. and investors watchings right now are hope, they're getting whip sawed left and white. but i think behind the scened they've accomplished a lot more because the plans are miles apart. behind the scenes, the inside game, they're actually a lot closer. david: so was tim geithner yesterday with his real,tworks hard-core plan -- the one issued on thursday night which essentially doubled the amount of tax increases from the private sector than they had talked about before -- is that just a subterfuge? the real stuff is very different in. >> they're all trying, david, to appease the base, right? they're really their collective caucuses. if you look at the republicans, i don't think the gop caucus, all the congressmen and senators in the house and senate, they won't really believe that boehner has got them a deal until around december 20th. in other words, this is all just posturing
FOX Business
Dec 10, 2012 4:00pm EST
minister resignation soon and the impact on europe's debt crisis. crude and in the day down $0.37 $85.56 per barrel. gasoline has come down $0.10 over the past few weeks. korn falling to a three-week low so far i'm growing demand overseas for supplies from the u.s. soybeans also dropping on slowing demand. david: peter kenny, to see his communicates, some of the best material on what is happening in the market around the world. we have him here live. and peter barnes with the latest developments on the fiscal cliff negotiations, but let's art in chicago with john, two very interesting situations continuing, drama over the fiscal cliff in d.c. and also this week we have the fed meeting. which is more important to the market? >> eventually it will be the fiscal cliff that is more important to the market, but make no doubt about it, the fed meeting with the announcement wednesday morning and wednesday afternoon is going to continue to support risk assets. you were talking about how the dollar is melting up for the fourth consecutive day. the federal reserve will make a very active effort
FOX Business
Dec 7, 2012 4:00pm EST
numbering your money back from europe being 30% you might make it 10%. a lot of money would come back to the u.s. and it would be good for the economy. dave: don't mean to pouu water and your idea because i agree with you it would be a great idea to have a tax holiday we have it ministrations people want from the chief economic adviser of the president on down with the administration and they say no way they are going to do this. would give the any optimism it might be done? >> people need revenue. this is positive for revenue. the money sits over cease and the u.s. treasury gets none of it. if you declare this tax holiday the money produces revenue in nd the u.s.. the change of administration at some point. dave: are you hearing anything about this? we ask the administration specifically about this, they say we won't let it happen. >> that is what we heard. they are not going to let it happen but it would be great if they did because of what has already been pointed out. we need to spur this economy and of the fiscal cliff developed and small-businesses our hits we have to have growt
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 4:00pm EST
on in the u.s. with the fiscal cliff, and before that, it was all about europe. david: larry, your picks, disney and direct tv, i know you like the vegas stocks, las vegas sans, boyd gaming as well, but what about john's point that just to be safe because you never know. i mean, the worse can happen, happened before, and could happen again, those jokers inside the beltway very often don't come to a conclusion. wouldn't it be safe to put at least 10 #% of the portfolio in cash right now just in case? >> i just can't see it. the math is so compelling on the other side, and you have this just incredible sentiment. thirty years now, you have not been able to lose money in bonds. a lot of people think that it's impossible to lose money in bonds, and it is. you surely are not going to make any money in bonds other than clip your coupon. you're not going to make any money in cash. david: let me just stop you for a sec about bonds here because it is not impossible to lose money on bonds if the companies they are based on go bankrupt or the governments they are based on go bankrupt, and people ar
FOX Business
Dec 4, 2012 4:00pm EST
're experiencing now. capital is on strike. much capital is not being created. we see it in western europe. we see it in japan. would apply the same poison here. real people are just debating. how much more burden would we put on already weak economy? david: steve, will republicans cave on the issue of tax rate increases. will they agree with the president and his folks to raise ttx rates? >> the rank-and-file that talk to want to hold fast on that and say, no we're not going to do it. you want to push the economy off the cliff, you're the chief executive. you're supposed to be bringing people together. and put, throw the ball back in his court. david: you think no deal? >> boehner might be willing to do a deal. the rank-and-file wants to hold fast and stick to principle which is rare in washington. david: what is your feeling? do you think we'll go off the cliff? >> i think it will go right to the end. if boehner and senator mcconnell do not cave, i think we'll kick the can down the road. for once that will be a good thing rather than a bad thing. david: steve forbes, forbes media chairman. >> go
FOX Business
Dec 18, 2012 4:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff. they are looking at hey there's no hard landing in china. europe didn't fall off the map. the u.s. didn't go into recession. we didn't have worldwide food inflation. maybe there's a reason to be constructively bullish on this market. liz: wasn't 1442 supposed to be that support level? >> it is a support level. below that though 1430. that is a key level. i think people are squaring up because hey, we don't know what will happen overnight, but by in large, the market is pricing in that something will get accomplished, but hey, if i was standing in that pit right now, i'd go home flat as well but you'd never know. david: i won't tell those guys about the asteroid that's planning to hit at 12:00 midnight. but that's a whole other story. larry, great to see you. liz: david you just panicked half of our viewers. oracle beat on the top and bottom line. let's head back to nicole on the floor of the nyse. nicole: i have been talking with traders taking a look at the stock in the afterhours. it is a winner. we're watching oracle on the move to the upside, beat on both top and bott
Search Results 0 to 12 of about 13